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August 1 Crop Production Forecast

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Released: August 10, 2018
August 1 Crop Production Forecast
“Tennessee’s
 agricultural producers remain optimistic about the 2018 crop year, particularly corn, which is expected to
 produce a record yield,” said Debra Kenerson, State Statistician. “We
express our sincere gratitude to agricultural  producers for
making this picture of Tennessee agriculture possible.”
 
Corn
 production in
Tennessee
 was forecast at 127 million bushels, up 5 percent from the previous crop. Yield was estimated at 174 bushels per acre, up 3 bushels from the 2017 level. Acres for harvest as grain were estimated at 730,000 acres, up 20,000 acres from 2017. The
U.S.
 corn production was forecast at 14.6 billion bushels, down slightly from 2017. Based on conditions as of August 1, yields are expected to average 178.4 bushels per acre, up 1.8 bushels from 2017. Area harvested for grain is forecast at 81.8 million acres, unchanged from the June forecast but down 1 percent from 2017.
Soybean
 production for
Tennessee
 was forecast at 84.3 million bushels, an increase of 2 percent from 2017. Yield was estimated at 49.0 bushels per acre, down 1.0 bushels from a year ago. Acreage for harvest as beans was estimated at 1.72 million acres, up 60,000 acres from the previous year.
U.S.
 soybean production was forecast at 4.59 billion bushels, up 4 percent from last year. Based on August 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 51.6 bushels per acre, up 2.5  bushels from last year. Area for harvest is forecast at 88.9 million acres, down a percentage point from 2017.
Tennessee
 farmers expect to produce 18.6 million bushels of
winter wheat
 during 2018 from 295,000 acres for harvest. The expected crop for 2018 would be down 3 percent from the previous year. Growers expect a yield of 63.0 bushels per acre, down 7.0 bushel from 2017 and unchanged from July. Winter wheat production for the
Nation
 was forecast at 1.19 billion bushels, down 6 percent from 2017. The United States yield is forecast at 47.9 bushels per acre, down 0.1  bushels from last month and down 2.3 bushels from last year. The expected area to be harvested for grain or seed totals 24.8 million acres, down 2 percent from last year.
Tennessee cotton
 production is projected at 755,000 bales, up 3 percent from last year. Cotton yield is forecast to average 1,050 pounds per acre, up 17 pounds per acre from the previous year. Producers expect to harvest 345,000 acres, up 5,000 acres from 2017.
U.S.
 cotton production was forecast at 19.2 million bales, down 8 percent from 2017. Yields are forecast to average 911 pounds per acre, up 6 pounds from last year. Harvested acreage is estimated at 10.1 million acres, down 9 percent from the previous year.
Tennessee burley tobacco
 production was forecast at 15.3 million pounds, down 15 percent from 2017. Yield was  projected at 1,700 pounds per acre, up 200 pounds from the 2017 crop. Harvested acreage was estimated at 9,000 acres, down 3,000 acres from last year's crop. For the
burley producing states
 production was forecast at 133 million pounds, down 17 percent from last year. Burley growers plan to harvest 69,800 acres, down 14 percent from 2017. Yields were expected to average 1,905 pounds per acre, down 72 pounds from last year.
 
In Cooperation with:
Tennessee Department of Agriculture Jai Templeton, Commissioner 
 
USDA, NASS, Tennessee Field Office
Debra Kenerson, State Statistician PO Box 41505 Nashville, Tennessee 37204-1505 (615) 891-0903 or 1-800-626-0987
Email:
 nass-tn@nass.usda.gov

 
 
Production of
Tennessee dark fire-cured
 tobacco was forecast at 19.0 million pounds, down 9 percent from the previous year.
Tennessee dark air-cured
 tobacco production was forecast at 3.45 million pounds, down 14 percent from last year.
Tennessee
 
other hay
 production was forecasted at 4.14 million tons, up 6 percent from last year.

 
 
CROP PRODUCTION SUMMARY, August 1 TENNESSEE AND UNITED STATES
Crops Area Planted
1
 Area Harvested Yield Per Acre Production 2017 2018 2017 2018
2
 2017 2018 2017 2018 Jul 1
1
 Aug 1
2
 
TENNESSEE
(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (bushels) (bushels) (bushels) (1,000 bushels) (1,000 bushels)
Corn
3
 Soybeans
3
 Wheat, Winter 
34
 750 1,690 370 780 1,750 390 710 1,660 275 730 1,720 295 171.0 50.0 70.0 -- -- 63.0 174.0 49.0 63.0 121,410 83,000 19,250 127,020 84,280 18,585
(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (pounds) (pounds) (pounds) (1,000 pounds) (1,000 pounds)
Cotton
5
 345 350 340 345 1,033 -- 1,050 732 755
(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (tons) (tons) (tons) (1,000 tons) (1,000 tons)
Hay: Other, All -- -- 1,700 1,800 2.30 -- 2.30 3,910 4,140
(acres) (acres) (acres) (acres) (pounds) (pounds) (pounds) (1,000 pounds) (1,000 pounds)
Tobacco: All Burley Dark-Fire Cured Dark-Air Cured -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 21,100 12,000 7,500 1,600 17,300 9,000 6,800 1,500 2,038 1,500 2,800 2,500 -- -- -- -- 2,184 1,700 2,800 2,300 43,000 18,000 21,000 4,000 37,790 15,300 19,040 3,450
UNITED STATES
 
(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (bushels) (bushels) (bushels) (1,000 bushels) (1,000 bushels)
Corn
3
 Soybeans
3
 Wheat, Winter 
34
 90,167 90,142 32,696 89,128 89,557 32,732 82,703 89,522 25,291 81,770 88,862 24,816 176.6 49.1 50.2 -- -- 48.0 178.4 51.6 47.9 14,604,067 4,391,553 1,269,437 14,586,485 4,585,916 1,189,199
(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (pounds) (pounds) (pounds) (1,000 pounds) (1,000 pounds)
Cotton
5
 12,613 13,518 11,100 10,139 905 -- 911 20,923 19,235
(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (tons) (tons) (tons) (1,000 tons) (1,000 tons)
Hay: Other, All -- -- 37,221 37,717 2.05 -- 1.88 76,387 70,726
(acres) (acres) (acres) (acres) (pounds) (pounds) (pounds) (1,000 pounds) (1,000 pounds)
Tobacco: All Burley Dark-Fire Cured Dark-Air Cured -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 321,470 81,500 19,270 7,600 303,680 69,800 18,080 7,500 2,209 1,977 3,089 2,658 -- -- -- -- 2,130 1,905 3,029 2,620 710,161 161,140 59,531 20,200 646,752 132,960 54,764 19,650
1
 Commodities with estimates not available are
(denoted by "--")
.
2
 Forecasted.
3
 Area harvested represents grain.
4
 Includes area  planted in preceding fall.
5
 Production in 480-lb. net weight bales. U.S. production includes American-Pima cotton.